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Market Trends - Stats

DigiTimes: Low-Cost Notebooks Hurt GPUs

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DigiTimes: Low-Cost Notebooks Hurt GPUs

According to DigiTimes low-cost notebooks are hurting GPU demand-- as vendors plan Q4 2014 launches of notebooks armed with integrated graphics, AMD and Nvidia face drops in discrete mobile GPU shipments.

Notebook makers set to launch such low-cost offerings, which feature 10- to 15-inch displays and $199-399 pricetags, include HP, Dell, Lenovo, Asus, Acer and Toshiba. AMD and Nvidia have noticed the trend, are are thus shifting focus on mid-range and high-end notebooks.

Nvidia has the largest share of the notebook GPU market, and thus should be the one hurt most by the sea change, Taiwanese supply chain sources say.

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IC Insights: Tablets to Grow as PCs Remain Flat

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IC Insights: Tablets to Grow as PCs Remain Flat

According to IC Insights overall global 2014 personal computing device (combined desktops, notebooks, tablets and thin clients) shipments will grow by 12% to 585 million units, up from 521m in 2013.

Shipments for 2015 should rise by 9% to 639m units, while the 2012-2017 forecast period is to see a CAGR of 9.4% with shipments reaching 731m by end 2017.

The analyst says the standard PC (desktops and notebooks) market is still sluggish, with a -5% shipment decline to 298m units in 2014. Next year should see a small 1% increase to 302m.

Meanwhile 2014 tablet shipments will grow by 39% to 281m, before reaching 327m with 16% growth in 2015. Thin clients should also grow, with 2014 shipments rising by 22% to 6m units and 2015 units reaching 10m with 56% growth.

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Juniper: 2019 Wearables Revenues to Hit $53bn

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Juniper: 2019 Wearables Revenues to Hit $53bn

According to Juniper Research wearable device retail revenues are set to treble by 2016, before reaching $53.2 billion by 2019, with premium smartwatches and smartglasses driving sales during the forecast period.

In comparison 2014 revenues should total around $4.5bn.

However, while the numbers look big, the analyst warns consumers are still still confused by the actual use case of wearables-- meaning many are hesitant to adopt devices with functionality all too similar to that of smartphones. Thus it suggests vendors should lose the "technology first" attitude and develop devices in terms of consumer benefits.

The forecast period should see more advanced wearable technologies emerging from the enterprise and medical segments, before eventual trickle-down to the consumer segment.

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IDC: PCs Drive W. European Smart Connected Devices

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IDC: PCs Drive W. European Smart Connected Devices

According to IDC Q2 2014 W. European smart connected device (PCs, tablets and smartphones) shipments total 52.5 million units with 2.8% Y-o-Y growth, a quarter of "soft" growth and shifting device dynamics.

As the analyst puts it, Q2 2014 tablet demand is down by -12.5% Y-o-Y (reaching 7.6m units) due to longer product life cycles, as well as renewed attention to portable PCs, larger smartphones and aggressively priced low-end notebooks.

Two-in-One devices fare better, with shipments growing by 10.7% Y-o-Y.

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IDC: Smartphones Up, Tablets Slow Down

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IDC: Smartphones Up, Tablets Slow Down

According to IDC 2014 smartphone shipments are set to grow by 23.8% to 1.25 billion units while tablets and 2-in-1 devices will reach 2331 million units with 6.5% growth, down from previous predictions of 12.1% growth.

The analyst adds total smartphone volumes will total 1.8bn units with a  CAGR for the 2013-2018 period of 12.7%. Pushing such growth are emerging markets, as 2014 growth in mature territories is expected to crawl down to just 4.9%, compared to 32.4% in emerging markets.

"Mature markets have slowed considerably but still deliver strong revenues with ASPs over $400. Meanwhile, many emerging markets are still barreling along, but with ASPs of less than $250," IDC says. "The key for vendors now is to maintain a presence in the higher-margin mature markets, while establishing a sustainable presence within the fast-growing emerging markets. To enable this strategy, operating system companies are partnering with OEMs to provide low-cost handsets."

IDC expects emerging market smartphone volume will account for 73.5% of all shipments, with low-cost Android devices making 88.4% of said volume.

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Gartner: PCs Show "Relative" Revival

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Gartner: PCs Show

According to Gartner combined PC, tablet, ultramobile and mobile phone shipments will reach 2.4 billion in 2014, a 4.2% increase over 2013 with PC showing a "relative" revival as tablet shipments slow down.

"2014 will be marked by a relative revival of the global PC market," the analyst says. The PC market (covering desktops, notebooks and ultramobiles) saw 2013 declines of -9.5% , but will recover somewhat to shrink by -2.9%  in 2014.

"Business upgrades from Windows XP and the general business replacement cycle will lessen the downward trend, especially in W. Europe," Gartner continues. "This year, we anticipate nearly 60 million professional PC replacements in mature markets."

On the other hand tablets are to see "relative" slowdown in 2014, with shipments growing by 23.9% to 256m units as lower price points, not superior functionality, drive the next wave of adoption.

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Phablets to Take Over Mobile

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Phablets to Take Over Mobile

The salad days of the 3.5-inch smartphone are over BI Intelligence says-- phablets (aka smartphones with a 5-7-inch display) are taking over as the market trends towards larger quasi-tablet handsets.

According to the analyst global phablet shipments are to hit 1.5 billion in 2019 with a CAGR of 27% for the 2014-2019 period, nearly double the 15% CAGR predicted for regular smartphones over the same period. Phablets should make 59% of the 2019 smartphone market, up from 35% in 2014.

BI Intelligence adds phablets are already cannibalising global tablet sales-- and as tablet demand declines, phablet shipments should total three times as much as tablets by 2019.

How come oversized smartphones are so popular? One reason is larger displays allow for sustained on-the-go engagement on social networks and apps of the Facebook, Instagram and Snapchat variety. According to the analyst over 50% of phablet activity is tied to social networks.

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DigiTimes: Graphics Cards Shipments to Drop on Q2 2014

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DigiTimes: Graphics Cards Shipments to Drop on Q2 2014

DigiTimes reports global Q2 2014 graphics card shipments are set to fall by 30-40% Q-o-Q as vendor are suffering from excessive inventories, at least according to unnamed industry sources.

Apparently graphics card players and channel retailers are urging AMD and Nvidia should boost demand by slashing prices, but the two companies insist on reducing shipments in order to maintain profits and inventory-new shipment balance.

Further impacting graphic card sales is a drop in GPU demand for Bitcoin mining, the sources continue. Cryptocurrency production used to be a GPU-intensive activity, but a change in the difficulty of the mining process resulted in the reduction of need for GPU grunt.

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Analysts: iPad Sales in Decline?

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Analysts: iPad Sales in Decline?

The iPad is the second most important source of Apple income, following the iPhone with 20% of overall company sales. However a number of Apple analysts predict iPad sales have hit a wall and will soon go in decline.

According to Fortune 34 Apple analysts (21 Wall Street professionals and 13 amateurs) expect iPad sales declines of at least -0.7% Y-o-Y in the Q2 2014 Apple results report.

The overall consensus for Q2 2014 iPad sales sands at 19.3-19.4 million units. Some analysts are more optimistic (Asymco predicts sales of 21.8m with 12% Y-o-Y growth), while others are pessimistic (Braeburn declares sales of 15m, a -23% Y-o-Y decline).

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