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Market Trends - Stats

Context: "Solid" Q4 Growth for W. European PCs

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Context:

The W. European PC market (covering desktops, notebooks and workstations) sees "solid" growth during Q4 2014 Context reports, with volume sales growing by 16.9% over the same period last year.

Fueling such growth is a 25.4% Y-o-Y increase in consumer PCs, one pushed by low-cost notebook sales during the early holiday shopping rush. However the analyst points out the return to consumer PC growth comes on the back of a weak 2013.

In the meantime business PCs show 6.9% Y-o-Y Q4 2014 growth, as a a "small" desktop decline offsets a 14.9% notebook increase. Context says business growth is slowing down as the XP migration effect is lessening, but unlike the consumer market the Q4 2014 results come on the back of positive 2013 results for the segment.

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Strategy Analytics: Lenovo, Asus Drive Q3 Tablets

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Strategy Analytics: Lenovo, Asus Drive Q3 Tablets

Strategy Analytics reports Q3 2014 tablet shipments total 55.2 million units, a 6% Y-o-Y increase (or 5% Q-o-Q) in part driven by devices with innovative form factors from Asus and Lenovo.

Android OS share reaches 72%, an all-time high fueled by white box Android tablets available in many different screen size, connectivity and price options. Meanwhile Windows reaches 6%, a record for Microsoft thanks to a full quarter of Surface Pro 3 availability.

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JPR: Nvidia Up, AMD Down in GPUs

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JPR: Nvidia Up, AMD Down in GPUs

According to Jon Peddie Research (JPR) Q3 2014 PC graphics shipments show Nvidia is taking market share  back from AMD, as AMD shipments fall by -7% Q-o-Q,  Nvidia grows by 12.9% and Intel shows an 11.6% increase.

"The 3rd quarter is typically the big growth quarter, and after the turmoil of the recession, it appears that trends are following the typical seasonality cycles of the past," the analyst says.

When it comes to GPU attach rate (including integrated and discrete GPUs), Q2 2014 sees a 2% increase to 155%, while 32% of PCs have discrete GPUs (flat from Q1 2014)-- meaning 68% of PCs in uses today carry embedded graphics in the CPU.

JPR adds overall Q3 2014 PC shipments are up by 6.9% Q-o-Q, if down by -2.6% on a Y-o-Y basis. And, judging from GPU shipments, the analyst says PC vendor are "guiding cautiously" for Q4 2014.

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Gartner: Connected "Things" to Reach 25bn by 2020

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Gartner: Connected

According to Gartner the global number of "things" making the Internet of Things (IoT) will total 4.9 billion in 2015 before growing to 25bn by 2020, marking the IoT as a "powerful force" disrupting "all industries and all areas of society."

Gartner continues the IoT will support total services spending worth $69.5bn in 2015, a number set to reach $263bn in 2020.

“The digital shift instigated by the Nexus of Forces (cloud, mobile, social and information), and boosted by IoT, threatens many existing businesses. They have no choice but to pursue IoT, like they’ve done with the consumerisation of IT,” the analyst says.

Consumer applications will drive the number of connected things, as 2.9bn things should find use in the 2015 consumer market (over 13bn in 2020). Gartner predicts the IoT will transform familiar connected devices, such as ATMs and airline check-ins, with the addition new digital sensing, computing and communications capabilities, as well as create new ones. It gives such objects a "digital voice," a information stream reflecting their status and that of the surrounding environment.

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Gartner: Tablets Get Squeezed Out of Devices

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Gartner: Tablets Get Squeezed Out of Devices

Gartner reports 2014 tablet sales growth is slowing down to 229 million units with 11% growth, a far cry over 2013 growth of 55%, as customers prefer to either buy alternative devices or simply stick with their current tablets.

As a result tablets make just 9.5% of 2014 global device (combined PCs, tablets, ultramobiles and mobile phones) sales, which the analyst estimates will reach 2.4 billion units with 3.2% growth.

"The device market continues to evolve, with the relationship between traditional PCs, different form factor ultramobiles (clamshells, hybrids and tablets) and mobile phones becoming increasingly complex," Gartner says.

The tablet segment's downward trend stems from the slowdown in basic ultramobiles-- new iPad and Android tablet sales-- and the lifetime extension of current tablets to 3 years by 2018. Thus Gartner projects 90m fewer new tablet sales and 155m fewer replacements through 2018, while some customers will replace their current tablets with hybrid or two-in-one devices.

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DigiTimes: Windows 10 Will Not Boost Notebook Demand

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DigiTimes: Windows 10 Will Not Boost Notebook Demand

DigiTimes reports a number of notebook component makers are not too optimistic on the effect Windows 10 will leave on the industry, and as such predict 2015 notebook shipments will only grow by 5-10% Y-o-Y.

How so, one might ask. The industry sources say Windows 10 was mainly designed to  fix general dissatisfaction over Windows 8, and lacks the kind of innovations that makes consumers buy new PCs. Microsoft even offers free Windows 10 upgrades to Windows 8 users, meaning there will be no significant replacement demand.

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DigiTimes: Low-Cost Notebooks Hurt GPUs

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DigiTimes: Low-Cost Notebooks Hurt GPUs

According to DigiTimes low-cost notebooks are hurting GPU demand-- as vendors plan Q4 2014 launches of notebooks armed with integrated graphics, AMD and Nvidia face drops in discrete mobile GPU shipments.

Notebook makers set to launch such low-cost offerings, which feature 10- to 15-inch displays and $199-399 pricetags, include HP, Dell, Lenovo, Asus, Acer and Toshiba. AMD and Nvidia have noticed the trend, are are thus shifting focus on mid-range and high-end notebooks.

Nvidia has the largest share of the notebook GPU market, and thus should be the one hurt most by the sea change, Taiwanese supply chain sources say.

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IC Insights: Tablets to Grow as PCs Remain Flat

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IC Insights: Tablets to Grow as PCs Remain Flat

According to IC Insights overall global 2014 personal computing device (combined desktops, notebooks, tablets and thin clients) shipments will grow by 12% to 585 million units, up from 521m in 2013.

Shipments for 2015 should rise by 9% to 639m units, while the 2012-2017 forecast period is to see a CAGR of 9.4% with shipments reaching 731m by end 2017.

The analyst says the standard PC (desktops and notebooks) market is still sluggish, with a -5% shipment decline to 298m units in 2014. Next year should see a small 1% increase to 302m.

Meanwhile 2014 tablet shipments will grow by 39% to 281m, before reaching 327m with 16% growth in 2015. Thin clients should also grow, with 2014 shipments rising by 22% to 6m units and 2015 units reaching 10m with 56% growth.

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Juniper: 2019 Wearables Revenues to Hit $53bn

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Juniper: 2019 Wearables Revenues to Hit $53bn

According to Juniper Research wearable device retail revenues are set to treble by 2016, before reaching $53.2 billion by 2019, with premium smartwatches and smartglasses driving sales during the forecast period.

In comparison 2014 revenues should total around $4.5bn.

However, while the numbers look big, the analyst warns consumers are still still confused by the actual use case of wearables-- meaning many are hesitant to adopt devices with functionality all too similar to that of smartphones. Thus it suggests vendors should lose the "technology first" attitude and develop devices in terms of consumer benefits.

The forecast period should see more advanced wearable technologies emerging from the enterprise and medical segments, before eventual trickle-down to the consumer segment.

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